| ID | Risk | Project | Category | P × I | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R-041 | Solvent skids customs delay | Rare Earth | Logistics | 5 × 5 | Critical |
| R-038 | GE turbine slip → P3 comm. | Phosphate 3 | Logistics | 5 × 4 | Critical |
| R-026 | EPC labour shortage (Q4) | Phosphate 3 | Contractor | 4 × 5 | Critical |
| R-052 | MP Materials JV clauses | Rare Earth | Regulatory | 3 × 5 | High |
| R-034 | HV switchgear rework | Phosphate 3 | Quality | 4 × 3 | High |
| R-047 | Ras Al Khair yard congestion | Aluminum | Logistics | 3 × 4 | High |
| R-019 | Groundwater permit refresh | Mansourah | Regulatory | 2 × 5 | High |
| ID | Milestone | Project | Baseline | Forecast | Δ | Owner | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-22 | SAG mill availability | Mansourah | 27 Aug 26 | 27 Aug 26 | 0 | S. Al-Ghamdi | On track |
| M-09 | Line-2 hot commissioning | Aluminum | 02 Sep 26 | 04 Sep 26 | −2 d | M. Al-Otaibi | Watch |
| M-11 | Substation energization | Phosphate 3 | 09 Sep 26 | 11 Sep 26 | −2 d | K. Al-Mudaifer | Watch |
| M-33 | Al Khabra dewatering upgrade | Al Khabra | 25 Sep 26 | 25 Sep 26 | 0 | Fluor | On track |
| M-71 | Lithium pilot phase-1 | Lithium (Aramco JV) | 30 Sep 26 | 30 Sep 26 | 0 | Aramco JV | On track |
| M-06 | Mech. completion Driven by BL-5182 solvent skids |
Rare Earth | 28 Sep 26 | 16 Oct 26 | −18 d | A. Farooq | Critical |
| M-31 | First heap-leach cycle | Mansourah | 15 Oct 26 | 15 Oct 26 | 0 | S. Al-Ghamdi | On track |
| M-49 | JSC concentrate SLA | Jabal Sayid Cu | 18 Oct 26 | 18 Oct 26 | 0 | Barrick JV | On track |
| M-18 | Cold rolling line handover | Aluminum Ds | 08 Nov 26 | 08 Nov 26 | 0 | M. Al-Otaibi | On track |
| M-41 | Phos-2 shutdown | Phosphate 2 | 24 Nov 26 | 24 Nov 26 | 0 | MPC ops | On track |
| M-52 | Solvent-ext. commissioning | Rare Earth | 03 Dec 26 | 21 Dec 26 | −18 d | A. Farooq | Watch |
| M-27 | Ammonia plant tie-in | Phosphate 3 | 03 Dec 26 | 07 Dec 26 | −4 d | Worley | Watch |
| M-51 | AD annual turnaround | Ad Duwayhi | 15 Dec 26 | 15 Dec 26 | 0 | MGBM ops | On track |
| M-39 | Full-plant availability | Mansourah | 22 Dec 26 | 22 Dec 26 | 0 | S. Al-Ghamdi | On track |
| M-74 | Kaolin dryer overhaul | Kaolin Az Zabirah | 04 Jan 27 | 04 Jan 27 | 0 | MIM ops | On track |
| M-58 | First cathode strip | Rare Earth | 09 Jan 27 | 18 Jan 27 | −9 d | A. Farooq | Watch |
| M-45 | Recycling FEED gate | Aluminum Ds | 20 Jan 27 | 20 Jan 27 | 0 | M. Al-Otaibi | On track |
| M-14 | Turbine mech. completion Driven by BL-4471 GE turbines |
Phosphate 3 | 05 Feb 27 | 11 Feb 27 | −6 d | Bechtel | Critical |
| Business Unit | Projects | CAPEX $B | Burn % | SPI | CPI | Revenue FY26 | EBITDA % | Workforce | Saudization | LTIF | Env NCR | IKTVA | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phosphate & Fertilizers Wa'ad Al Shamal |
7 | 7.4 | 43% | 0.89 | 1.04 | SAR 7.9 B | 31% | 14.3K | 42% | 0.18 | 3 | 58% | On Watch |
| Aluminum Ras Al Khair |
6 | 2.6 | 49% | 0.96 | 0.98 | SAR 12.8 B | 34% | 7.2K | 48% | 0.14 | 1 | 62% | On Watch |
| Gold & Base Metals Mansourah |
5 | 0.9 | 87% | 1.01 | 1.05 | SAR 4.9 B | 42% | 4.1K | 51% | 0.11 | 0 | 67% | On Track |
| Industrial Minerals Rare Earth · Lithium |
6 | 1.5 | 36% | 0.86 | 0.94 | SAR 1.1 B | 18% | 2.9K | 38% | 0.22 | 2 | 45% | At Risk |
| PORTFOLIO TOTAL | 24 | 12.4 | 47% | 0.94 | 1.02 | SAR 26.6 B | 32% | 28.5K | 42% | 0.16 | 6 | 58% | On Watch |
| ID | Milestone | Project | Base | F/Cast | Slip | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-22 | SAG mill availability Path D · ops ramp-up |
Mansourah | 27 Aug 26 | 27 Aug 26 | 0 | On track |
| M-09 | Line-2 hot commissioning Path C · commissioning driver |
Aluminum | 02 Sep 26 | 04 Sep 26 | −2 d | Watch |
| M-11 | Substation energization Path A · pre-req to turbine |
Phosphate 3 | 09 Sep 26 | 11 Sep 26 | −2 d | Watch |
| M-06 | Mech. completion Path B · driven by BL-5182 solvent skids |
Rare Earth | 28 Sep 26 | 16 Oct 26 | −18 d | Critical |
| M-31 | First heap-leach cycle Path D · float +11 d |
Mansourah | 15 Oct 26 | 15 Oct 26 | 0 | On track |
| M-18 | Cold rolling line handover Path C · downstream of M-09 |
Aluminum | 08 Nov 26 | 08 Nov 26 | 0 | On track |
| M-27 | Ammonia plant tie-in Path A · off-critical, watch |
Phosphate 3 | 03 Dec 26 | 07 Dec 26 | −4 d | Watch |
| M-14 | Turbine mech. completion Path A · driven by BL-4471 GE turbines |
Phosphate 3 | 05 Feb 27 | 11 Feb 27 | −6 d | Critical |
| Driver Milestone | Driver Project | Dependent Milestone | Dependent Project | Type | Lag | Health |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-11 | Phosphate 3 | M-14 | Phosphate 3 | Finish → Start | 0 d | Watch |
| BL-5182 | 4PL / DB Schenker | M-06 | Rare Earth | Material → Start | +18 d | Critical |
| BL-4471 | 4PL / Bahri | M-14 | Phosphate 3 | Material → Start | +6 d | Critical |
| M-09 | Aluminum Ds | M-18 | Aluminum Ds | Finish → Start | 0 d | Watch |
| M-06 | Rare Earth | M-52 | Rare Earth | Finish → Start | 0 d | Critical |
| M-22 | Mansourah | M-31 | Mansourah | Finish → Start | +11 d | On track |
| ID | Risk | Category | Owner | P×I | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R-038 | GE turbine slip → M-14 comm. | Logistics | 4PL / Bechtel | 5×4 | Critical |
| R-026 | EPC labour shortage Q4-26 | Contractor | Bechtel HR | 4×5 | Critical |
| R-045 | Phos-acid reactor rework | Quality | Bechtel QA | 5×4 | Critical |
| R-034 | HV switchgear rework | Quality | L&T | 4×3 | High |
| R-051 | Sulphur feedstock price spike | Market | Ma'aden SC | 3×4 | High |
| R-058 | Groundwater permit extension | Regulatory | Ma'aden ESG | 2×5 | High |